《Table 3 Relative change in seasonal mean solar resources (%) over land by region in the 21st centur

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《Projection of global wind and solar resources over land in the 21~(st) century》

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The Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project（CMIP）which is dedicated to promoting the development of climate models and includes over 58 models around the world，is becoming an important tool for future climate projection.CMIP5 uses four emission experiments called Representative Concentration Pathways（RCPs）for future climate projection:RCP2.6，RCP4.5，RCP6.0，and RCP8.5，representing radiation forcing of 2.6 W m-2，4.5 W m-2，6.0W m-2，and 8.5 W m-2，respectively，by 2100（compared to the pre-industrial period）.This study specifically analyzed wind and solar resources under the RCP2.6 and RCP8.5scenarios，since they correspond to lowest and highest climate change intensity due to human activity，respectively.A total of 16 models were selected to project future wind and solar resources in the 21st century，all of which included monthly near-surface temperature，near-surface wind speed，precipitation，and downward surface solar radiation data simultaneously（Table 1）.