《Table 9The observed peak discharge and simulated peak discharges regarding to 95% (between 2.5%and

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《Using uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for finding the best rainfall-runoff model in mountainous watersheds(Case study: the Navrood watershed in Iran)》

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Notes:GIUH means Geomorphologic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph；GcIUH means Geomorphoclimatic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph.Obs.means observed value.

This research utilized the Latin Hypercube Sampling（LHS）on the Monte Carlo（MC）for the uncertainty analysis.This method generated 500sets of parameters samples in the hybrid models and events（6 models and 8 events）.For generation of parameters，the Monte Carlo simulation method and uniform distribution，which needs upper and lower limit of parameters，was used.For this purpose，?10%for main channel length and area of watershed and?30%of the applied values of other parameters at each model and event，are considered as upper and lower limit of parameters in that model and event.Then for the generated parameters，the peak discharge of flood hydrographs was calculated（500 peak discharges for each hybrid model and event）.Table 9 shows the generated peak discharge of flood hydrographs in 95%（between 2.5%and 97.5%）total prediction uncertainty bounds.