《南朝鲜的外贸政策与工业化过程》

Preamble1

引言1

1．Background2

1．背景2

2．依靠美援，初级进口替代（1953-1963年）4

2．The Period of Relying on U.S. Aid and Initial Import Substitution,1953-19634

2-1 Value of Imports and Exports as Percentage of GNP,1953-55,1960-625

List of Statistical Tables5

2-1进出口贸易值占国民生产总值的比例，1953-1955年，1960-1962年5

统计表5

2-2 U.S. Economic and Military Aid to South Korea,1946-765

2-2美国对南朝鲜的经济和军事援助，1946-1976年5

3．转向提倡出口，经济迅速增长（1964-1973年）8

3．1经济稳定和鼓励出口政策8

3．1 Economic Stabilization and Policy of Encouraging Export8

3．The Period of Shifting Toward Export Promotion and Rapid Growth, 1964-19738

3-1宏观经济变动，1953-1965年9

3-1 Macro-economic Changes,1953-659

3．2鼓励出口积极性措施体系的经济分析15

3．2 An Economic Analysis of the Export Incentive System15

3-2 Estimates of Effective Exchange Rates for Exports and Imports, 1958-7516

3-2进出口有效汇率的估计，1958-1975年16

3．3出口及工业化的成果20

3．3 The Outcome of Export Promotion and Industrialization20

3-3 Exports, Industrial Structure Changes and Economic Growth, 1965-7521

3-3出口、工业化与经济增长，1965-1975年21

3-4 Composition of Exports, According to Commodity Groups or by Major Commodities, 1960-8424

3-4出口组成：美元值按商品分类或主要商品，1960-1984年24

3．4工业结构变化的因素25

3．4 Sources of Changes In Industrial Structure25

3-5 Analysis of Output, Exports and Imports of Major Sub-Sectors of Manufacturing Industries,1955-7526

3-5主要制造工业部门的生产和进出口分析，1955-1975年26

3-6制造品工业产出增长的来源，1955-1975年29

3-6 Sources of Growth of Manufacturing Output,1955-7529

3．5生产要素的使用效率30

3．5 The Efficiency of the Utilization of Factors of Production30

3-7劳动力/资本比例的估计，1963-1975年31

3-7 Estimates of Labor Capital Ratio in Export and Import-competing Industries, 1963-7531

4．重工业化，国际经济震动与宏观经济管理（1972-1983年）33

4．The Development of Heavy Industry, External Economic Shocks and Macro-Economic Management, 1973-198333

4．1 The Strategy of the Development of Heavy and Chemical Industrles and Economic Imbalances34

4．1重化工业发展战略和经济不平衡34

4．2第一次石油震动与调整38

4．2 The First Oil Shock and Adjustments38

4-1外部经济环境的主要变动，1971-1982年40

4-1 Major Changes in External Economic Environment, 1971-8240

4-2宏观经济变动，1971-1987年41

4-3外债债负，1979-1985年41

4-2 Macro-economic Changes,1971-8741

4．3第二次石油震动与调整42

4．3 The Second Oil Shock and Adjustments42

4-3 External Debt Service,1979-8543

4．4 Foreign Trade and Industrial Growth and Structural Changes45

4．4工贸发展与结构变化45

4-4 Changes in Industrial Structure,1970-8347

4-4生产结构的变动，1970-1983年47

4-5 Changes in Foreign Trade Structure, 1970-8548

4-5外贸结构的变动，1970-1985年48

4．5遭遇的问题49

4．5 Problems Encountered49

5．New International Environment and Problems of Adjustments52

5．新国际经济环境与经济调整52

5．1 Adjustments and Reform Since the Early 1980 s53

5．1 80年代初期以来的调整与改革53

5．2 New International Economic Environment and Trade and Development Problems55

5．2新国际经济环境与外贸及发展问题55

Conclusions58

结束语58