《Table 2 Baseline scenario:calibrated growth rate of GDP components, industry groups, and other vari

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《China's new growth pattern and its effect on energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions》

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GDP=gross domestic product Source:Employment and population data are from[13]，the growth rates of the GDP components and three-industry group from 2014 to 2016 are from the World Bank’s development indicators，and those from 2017 to2030 are the authors’

For the key energy industry assumption in the baseline scenario，we use the International Energy Agency（IEA）’s current policies scenario from its World Energy Outlook 2015，which comprises a suite of cross-cutting policies，（Cross-cutting policies refer to policies that have multiple impacts.） power-sector policies，and industrysector policies（see Table 3）.Other assumptions，such as lower growth for steel production and higher efficiencies in metallurgical coking operations，are also included in Table 3.