《UNCERTAINTY IN AMERICAN POLITICS》

Introduction: Everything but Death and Taxes: Uncertainty and American Politics1

PART 1: ELITE AND INSTITUTIONAL POLITICS25

1. Bargaining, Uncertainty, and the Growth of the White House Staff, 1940-200027

2. Political Uncertainty and Administrative Procedures48

3. Uncertainty and Legislative Capacity for Controlling the Bureaucracy75

4. Bureaucracy and Uncertainty98

5. Uncertainty and Political Debate: How the Dimensionality of Political Issues Gets Reduced in the Legislative Process118

PART 2: CITIZEN AND ELECTORAL POLITICS137

6. Declining Uncertainty: Presidents, Public Opinion, and Polls139

7. Uncertainty and American Public Opinion161

8. Risk and Uncertainty as Sources of Incumbent Insecurity186

9. Uncertainty, Experience with Black Representation, and the White Vote213

Index245

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