《EAGLE RULES? FOREIGN POLICY AND AMERICAN PRIMACY IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY》

Chapter 1: Foreign Policy and American Primacy1

Three Propositions about America's World Role3

Reversible Assumptions?12

Implications for Foreign Policy14

Part I: The Eagle at Home16

Chapter 2: Public Opinion and Foreign Policy16

Internationalism or Isolationism18

Threats to Vital U.S. Interests20

Foreign Policy Goals22

Globalization, Trade, and Protectionism25

Foreign Economic Assistance28

Deployment of U.S. Troops Abroad29

Partisanship: Persistence or Abatement?34

Conclusion40

Election Postscript44

Chapter 3: Who Rules the Roost? Congressional-Executive Relations on Foreign Policy After the Cold War47

Introduction47

Presidential versus Congressional Perspectives on Foreign Policy50

Historical and Post-Cold War Influences on Foreign Policy Roles52

The Post-Cold War Interbranch Balance on Foreign Policy56

Interbranch Relations on Trade and Finance57

Foreign Policy Appointments and the Senate Confirmation Process58

War Powers61

The Treaty Ratification Process65

Conclusions67

Part II: Regional Relations70

Chapter 4: The United States and Europe: From Primacy to Partnership?70

The Indispensable Power72

Growing Resentment of American Power81

Europe's Capacity for Partnership89

Europe's Outlook for Partnership92

Sharing Power and Responsibility for Decisions93

Towards Strategic Partnership95

Chapter 5: Transforming Russia: American Policy in the 1990s97

The Promise and the Critique97

The Policy Framework102

American Policy and Russia's Evolution in the 1990s109

Conclusion: The Limits of Influence129

Chapter 6: The United States and the Americas; Unfilled Promise at the Century's Turn133

The Bush-Clinton Agenda135

The Summit and Other Pieces of the Hemispheric Agenda138

A Divided U.S. Government140

The Postwar Political Template and the Clinton Paradox148

Chapter 7: A Cautionary Tale: The U.S. and the Arab-Israeli Conflict152

Global Conflict to Regional Disturbance154

Madrid: Ratifying U.S. Supremacy156

The Parties Act, and the U.S. Rejoices157

Limits of Influence158

Trouble in the Gulf160

Salvaging the Peace161

Crisis of the End Game162

Camp David II: The Three-Bluff Summit164

Jerusalem Redux166

Fingers in the Dike: From Paris to Sharm167

Clinton's Last Hurrah-and Barak's169

A Clarifying Act of Violence169

The Limits of Influence170

Chapter 8: Iraq and Iran: From Dual to Differentiated Containment173

Historical Background175

Dual Containment of Two "Rogue States"176

Iraq: Containment or Rollback?180

Iran: A Revolutionary or an Ordinary State?184

Implementing "Differentiated Containment": Prospects and Dilemmas188

Chapter 9: Lone Eagle, Lone Dragon? How the Cold War Did Not End for China194

Human Rights195

Economics199

National Security205

Taiwan207

Conclusion210

Chapter 10: The Untied States and Africa: Power with Limited Influence214

American National Interests in Africa216

Conclusion238

Part III: Security Issues241

Chapter 11: Defense Policy for the Twenty-First Century241

America's Strategic Choices242

The U.S. Margin of Military Superiority Is Vast244

Military Primacy and Effective Influence246

Pressures on the Defense Budget248

Setting New Military Priorities251

Recalibrating the MTW Measuring Stick254

Finding Nonmilitary Solutions for the New Century260

Conventional Force Structure for the New Century261

Summary264

Chapter 12: Use of Force Dilemmas: Policy and Politics266

The National Interest Debate Redux268

Policy Challenge: Ethnic Conflict Deterrence and Humanitarian Intervention Strategies269

U.S. Domestic Political Constraints: How Fixed, How Flexible?276

Conclusion: Difficult, but Doable280

Chapter 13: Weapons Proliferation and Missile Defense: New Patterns, Tough Choices282

A Brief Historical Review284

Further Challenges at the Century's End289

Tough Policy Choices Ahead291

Initial Perspectives on the Bush Administration297

Part IV: Globalization and Its Discontents299

Chapter 14: Containing Backlash: Foreign Economic Policy in an Age of Globalization299

Is Globalization Irreversible?301

Will U.S. Primacy Endure?305

Can U.S. Policy-makers Be Counted On?307

International Trade309

International Finance317

Conclusion321

Chapter 15: The Eagle and the Global Environment: The Burden of Being Essential324

A Model for Success: The 1987 Montreal Protocol325

A Model for Paralysis: The Stillborn Kyoto Climate Change Agreement327

Biodiversity Protection Policy: Failing to Ratify the CBD333

The Price of Disengagement: National Interests Compromised in the 2000 Biosafety Protocol337

Conclusion340

Chapter 16: The United States and International Organizations342

The Uses of Multilateralism343

The Clinton Years347

The Causes of U.S. Behavior349

Index353