《GLOBALISATION AND THE FUTURE OF TERRORISM》求取 ⇩

1 Introduction1

Towards a framework for predicting future patterns of terrorism3

Defining terrorism9

Causes of terrorism15

2 Globalisation and armed conflicts17

The future of globalisation17

The future of armed conflicts24

Conclusion37

3 International relations and politics39

The world order39

Weapons of mass destruction45

Democratisation processes and the spread of illiberal democracies59

Trends in state formation and state failure65

Trends in peacekeeping and military interventions72

Trends in multilateralism87

The proliferation of non-governmental organizations91

4 The global market economy96

Trends in economic inequality97

Powerless politicians? Powerful businesses?105

The globalisation of organised crime120

Middle East petroleum and the future of the energy trade132

5 The demographic factor141

Demographic trends141

The immigration dilemma148

6 Ideological shifts159

The future landscape of extremist ideologies159

Possible implications for terrorism168

7 Our technological future170

Terrorism and technology171

Counter-terrorist technologies181

8 Conclusion187

Notes198

Select bibliography244

Index251