《Teh Poverty Of Historicism》

作者 编者
出版 Routledge & Kegan Paul
参考页数 166
出版时间 1961（求助前请核对）  目录预览
ISBN号 0710019653 — 求助条款
PDF编号 812516608（仅供预览，未存储实际文件）
求助格式 扫描PDF（若分多册发行，每次仅能受理1册）
Teh Poverty Of Historicism 1961 PDF电子版封面 0710019653

INTRODUCTION1

ⅠTHE ANTI-NATURALISTIC DOCTRINES OF HISTORICISM5

1 Generalization6

2 Experiment8

3 Novelty9

4 Complexity12

5 Inexactitude of Prediction12

6 Objectivity and Valuation14

7 Holism17

8 Intuitive Understanding19

9 Quantitative Methods24

10 Essentialism versus Nominalism26

ⅡTHE PRO-NATURALISTIC DOCTRINES OF HISTORICISM35

11 Comparison with Astronomy．Long-Term Forecasts and Large-Scale Forecasts36

12 The Observational Basis38

13 Social Dynamics39

14 Historical Laws41

15 Historical Prophecy versus Social Engineering43

16 The Theory of Historical Development45

17 Interpreting versus Planning Social Change49

18 Conclusion of the Analysis52

ⅢCRITICISM OF THE ANTINATURALISTIC DOCTRINES55

19 Practical Aims of this Criticism55

20 The Technological Approach to Sociology58

21 Piecemeal versus Utopian Engineering64

22 The Unholy Alliance with Utopianism71

23 Criticism of Holism76

24 The Holistic Theory of Social Experiments83

25 The Variability of Experimental Conditions93

26 Are Generalizations Confined to Periods？97

ⅣCRITICISM OF THE PRONATURALISTIC DOCTRINES105

27 Is there a Law of Evolution？Lawn and Trends105

28 The Method of Reduction．Causal Explanation．Prediction and Prophecy120

29 The Unity of Method130

30 Theoretical and Historical Sciences143

31 Situational Logic in History．Historical Interpretation147

32 The Institutional Theory of Progress152

33 Conclusion159

INDEX162

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