《STRATEGY OF THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINE THE YEARS 2004-2015》求取 ⇩

Authors3

Decree of the Presldent of Ukraine N0 493/20048

Introduction9

Section I Ukraine and global tendencies d socioeconomic development Realization of strategy of Eurolntegratlonal development of our state15

1.1. Intensification of the world globalization processes17

1.2. EU enlargement- opportunities and prospects for Ukraine19

1.3. Euroatlantlc integration23

1.4. Relations with the CIS countries, in particular with Russia26

Participation of Ukraine in formation of the Unified Economic Space (UFA)26

1.5. Cooperation with the future EU members35

Section II Strategic goals and priorities39

2.1. Major results of economic and social transformations (years 1991-2003)41

2.2. Strategic priorities for the years 2004-201547

Establishing preconditions for Ukraine's gaining a full membership in the European Union47

Securing sustainable economic growth48

Establishing innovative model of development49

Social re-orientation of economic policy50

2.3. Stages of socioeconomic transformations and quantitative growth parameters50

Section III Economic potential of Ukraine53

3.1. Gross Domestic Product55

3.2. Fixed assets58

3.3. Human resources as the major strategic resource of the state61

Labor Potential62

Demographic situation62

Education63

3.4. Scientific potential of Ukraine65

3.5. Natural resources potential of Ukraine71

Land resources71

Water resources73

Wood resources75

Subsoil and territories of mining mineral resources76

Section IV Strategy of accelerated development79

4.1. Macroeconomic indicators and possible scenarios of development of the macroeconomic situation in Ukraine for the period till 201581

Strategic guidelines81

Tasks of defined stages82

Development of the Ukraine's economy in the years 2004-2015 according to the basic scenario84

Development Of the Ukraine's economy in the years 2004-2015 according to the optimistic scenario87

Development of the Ukraine's economy in the years 2004-2015 according to the pessimistic scenario88

4.2. Strategy of increasing the competitiveness of the national economy89

4.3. Policy of extended innovative reproduction of fixed assets92

Forecast evaluations95

4.4. Formation of an investment potential, increase of accumulation standard and boosting the investment attraction of the national economy99

Current status and problems99

Goals and tasks of the development102

4.5. Reformation of banking system106

Current status and problems106

Strategic guidelines109

Quantitative parameters110

Structural tasks111

Stages of the development113

4.6. Development of non-banking credit financial institutions and of the insurance services market114

Current status and problems114

Structural tasks115

Quantitative parameters117

4.7. Development of the stock market. Enhancement of thecorporate management system117

Current status and problems117

Structural tasks119

Quantitative parameters120

Section V Strategy of establishing innovative model for development121

5.1. Main directives of building the innovative economy123

Strategic guidelines125

5.2, Development of knowledge of the economy126

5.3. Scientific and technological priorities131

Critical technologies131

Resource-saving technologies133

New materials and types of products134

Biotechnologies135

Rocket and space and aerospace technologies136

Technologies of the defense industry complex137

Energy-saving technologies139

5.4. Governmental policy in the sphere of science and technologies141

Strategic guidelines141

Formation of the domestic market of high technologies143

Institutional and organizational support for realizing priorities of the technological development144

Transfer of facilities146

System of technical regulation147

5.5. Scenarios of development of knowledge-intensive production148

Stages of innovative development150

Section VI Priorities of structural and Innovative raconstruction of the Industry Development of domestic market153

6.1. Overcoming the branch structural disbalances155

Strategic guidelines156

6.2. Strategy of development of domestic market157

Stages of structural and innovative reconstruction159

Quantitative parameters162

6.3. Power generating support of the economy. Prospect balance of fueland power generating resources164

Current condition and problems164

Strategic guidelines165

6.4. Development of the market of electric power169

Current status and problems169

Strategic guidelines170

Quantitative parameters172

Oil-and-gas complex173

6.5. Development of the coal production industry175

Current status and problems175

Structural tasks177

Quantitative parameters179

6.6. Strategy of development for metallurgy branch of the economy180

Current status and problems180

Strategic guidelines181

Quantitative parameters182

Tasks of structural reconstruction of operation of the branch183

6.7. Accelerated development of machine building184

Current status and problems184

Strategic guidelines187

Development of the defense industry complex188

Stages of restructuring of defense and industrial complex189

6.8. Development of light industry190

Structural tasks191

6.9. Development of food industry192

Structural tasks193

Section VII Development of the agrarian sector195

Current status and problems197

Strategic guidelines199

Structural tasks200

Quantitative parameters203

Stages of the development of the agrarian sector untill 2015206

Section VIII Informatization of the economy, development of telecommunications and Informational network, of communicaUon system209

Current status and problems of development of the communication industry and informatization sphere211

Strategic guidelines213

Structural tasks214

Section IX Effective usage of Ukraine's geostrateglc potential. Increase of the transport Infrastructure's efficiency and restructudng of road utilities220

Strategic guidelines222

Section X Modernlzstion of tourist and recreational potential Policy of cultural heritage protection225

Modernization of tourist and recreational sphere227

Development goals and tasks227

Policy of cultural heritage protection229

Structural tasks231

Section Xl Macroeconomic securing of the strategy of accelerated development233

11.1. Transformation of budget resources into the factor of economic growthReduction of tax encumbrance235

Strategic guidelines236

11.2. Limitation of debt dependence of the state. Dynamics of the national debt payments (2004-2011)239

11.3. Strategy of the development of the monetary and credit system Increase of reliability of the currency stabilization. Major parameters of monetary, credit and currency policy till 2011242

Quantitative parameters244

11.4. Forecasted evaluations of the payment balance dynamics of Ukraine untill 2015245

Section XlI Strategy of Institutional transformations249

12.1. Formation in Ukraine of a European style political systemIncreasing the capacity of authorities and of the state251

Structural tasks253

12.2. New stage of the administrative and judicial reform. Implementing the principles of openness of the government and accountability to the society255

12.3. Overcoming the "shadow" economy and its de-bureaucratization257

De-bureaucratization of the economy259

12.4. Improvement of property relations and privatization strategy. Consolidation of positions of private property and setting up effective corporate administration260

Deepening of privatization processes261

Improvement of a corporate management system265

12.5. Governmental support of small entrepreneurship267

Structural tasks268

Quantitative parameters270

12.6. Development of the cooperative sector of the economy270

Current status and problems270

Strategic guidelines271

Structural tasks271

12.7. Competition and limitation of monopolies272

Structural tasks273

12.8. Development of bankruptcy institution and protection of the creditors' rights274

Section XIII Mcreasing Life quality of the population. Basic tasks of Demographic policy275

13.1. New accents in income policy277

13.2. Population's standard of living279

Transformation of the benefits and assistance system281

Ways of increasing the population's standard of living282

Overcoming poverty283

Target application of social security funds285

Consolidation of the middle class' positions286

Strategy of transformation of social insurance286

Quantitative growth parameters287

13.3. Securing a high quality life-long education287

Current status and problems287

Development priorities288

Increasing the education coverage rate288

Increasing the quality of education290

Structural tasks291

Criteria of achievement of the settled goals292

13.4. Overcoming unemployment293

Securing full productive employment of the population293

Goals and mechanisms of implementing employment policy295

13.5. Housing policy297

Directions for solving the housing problem297

Goals and tasks of development298

13.6. Reformation of the health protection system299

Problems of population state of health299

Strategic priorities of reforming the health protection system303

Structural tasks303

13.7. Demographic processes and main levers of demographic policy306

Goals and tasks of the demographic policy307

Major levers of the demographic policy308

13.8. Securing gender equality311

Goals and tasks312

Criteria for achievement313

Section XIV Foreign economic strategy. Development of international co-operation315

14.1. Place of Ukraine in the world economic space317

Participation in the international trade319

Strategic guidelines319

Geographic structure of foreign trade322

14.2. Practical steps in performance of Ukraine's European integration324

Prospects of the development326

Goals and tasks of the development327

14.3. Forming a free trade area and increasing the efficiency of economic co-operation on the territory of CIS328

Goals and tasks of the development330

14.4. Optimization of economic relations with the Russian Federation333

Promising directions of co-operation between Ukraine and Russia335

14.5. Establishing a contractual legal basis for co-operation of Ukraine with other countries of the world337

Strategic goals338

Development of co-operation with other countries339

14.6. Development of international transport corridors342

14.7. Ukraine's acquisition of a WTO membership343

14.8. Ukraine's co-operation with international financial institutions345

Strategic guidelines347

Section XV Performing active regional govemmsntal policy349

15.1. Consolidation of the potential for development of regions and of their competitiveness351

Strategic guidelines353

15.2. Strategy of overcoming socioeconomic disproportions in the regional development357

15.3. Strategy of optimizing inter-budgetary relations359

Strategic guidelines361

15.4. Development of international and interregional economic co-operation362

Strategic guidelines364

15.5, Renewal of economic basis of small conglomerations366

Goals and tasks of the development367

15.6. Major principles of the administrative territorial reform374

Goals and tasks of the development376

Section XVI Strategy of providing for economic and erwtronmental security379

16.1. Strategy of providing of the country's economic security381

Main threats to economic security in Ukraine381

Goals and tasks of reinforcement of the state's economic security385

16.2. Strategy for providing the environmental security386

Tasks of consolidation of the environmental security389

Key goals390

Mechanisms of providing the environmental security392

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